Research Papers

IDE researchers publish their findings and work in highly respected academic journals. Explore their work, including published research and working papers under review.

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Advancing AI negotiations: A large-scale autonomous negotiation competition

Jun, 2026

Sinan Aral | Director, MIT IDE; Professor, MIT Sloan School of Management

Harang Ju | Assistant Professor, Johns Hopkins University

Research Papers The Emerging Market for Intelligence: How Firms Buy and Sell AI

Aug 2026

Andrey Fradkin | Assistant Professor, Questrom School of Business, Boston University

Mert Demirer

Nadav Tadelis

Published in the Journal of Economic Perspectives, this paper describes the emerging business-to-business market for large language model (LLM) inference and document key empirical patterns in its supply, pricing, and dynamics, using data from OpenRouter.

Research Papers Long Ties Map

Dean Eckles | Professor, MIT Sloan School of Management

This map details the correlation between evidence of economic well-being and a greater number of long ties — people whom you know but with whom you share no other mutual connections.

Research Papers AI Adoption in S&P 500 Firms

Martin Fleming | Research Scientist, IDE

Neil Thompson | Research Scientist, MIT Sloan School of Management and CSAIL

Yang Yu | Postdoctoral Associate

Lucy Hampton | Visiting Scientist

Christophe Combemale

This paper reviews SEC filings to gain a better understanding of actual AI adoption of S&P 500 firms over the period 2016 to 2025. The findings reveal where AI integration is most advanced and how it affects CAPEX and productivity.

Research Papers Generative AI floods and dilutes the market for books

Paramveer Dhillon | Assistant Professor, School of Information, University of Michigan

This paper looks at the market for generative AI-generated books and how AI is reshaping a creative market through scale rather than quality.

Research Papers Promoting engagement with social fact-checks online: Investigating the roles of social connection and shared partisanship

Jun 2026

Dean Eckles | Professor, MIT Sloan School of Management

Cameron Martel | MIT Sloan

Mohsen Mosleh | MIT Sloan

This paper asks under what conditions do social corrections promote engagement from corrected users, allowing for greater insight into how users respond to debunking messages (even if such responses are negative).

Research Papers Prioritization of Risks from Artificial Intelligence: A Delphi Study of 272 International Experts

Peter Slattery | Research Scientist at MIT Future Tech

Hans Gundlach | Research Assistant, CSAIL

Neil Thompson | Research Scientist, MIT Sloan School of Management and CSAIL

Alexander K. Saeri

Jess Graham

Michael Noetel, et al.

This paper reports results from a three-round Delphi study conducted late 2025 with 272 international AI experts who rated 24 AI risks on harm probability and severity, sector and actor vulnerability, actor responsibility, and overall concern.

Research Papers Advancing AI negotiations: A large-scale autonomous negotiation competition

Jun 2026

Sinan Aral | Director, MIT IDE; Professor, MIT Sloan School of Management

Harang Ju | Assistant Professor, Johns Hopkins University

Michelle Vaccaro

Michael Caosun

Jared R. Curhan

This research reveals that principles from human negotiation theory remain crucial even in AI–AI contexts and that AI-specific technical strategies also create success. The results suggest the need to establish a new theory of AI negotiation that integrates classic negotiation theory with AI-specific negotiation theories to better understand autonomous negotiations and optimize agent performance.

Research Papers How Much Progress Has There Been in NVIDIA Datacenter GPUs?

May 2026

Martin Fleming | Research Scientist, IDE

Neil Thompson | Research Scientist, MIT Sloan School of Management and CSAIL

Emanuele Del Sozzo

Kenneth Flamm

This paper examines technical progress in NVIDIA datacenter GPUs from the mid-2000s through 2025.